Erika GEFS 10 years ago

August 27, 2015

The latest "spaghetti" plot for the American Ensemble model.

A reformation of the center to the west occurred this morning, so the entire guidance envelope has shifted to the west. This opens up the Gulf of Mexico as well as the Atlantic Seaboard next week. As Erika gets chopped up by the Greater Antilles, there is the chance that the center reforms again, but next time it would likely be to the north of the islands.