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Highlighted Posts:
Hurricane Forecast (Updated 5/19)
Winter Forecast (Updated 10/22)

GFS coldest 5 days Getting Impressive
12.21.2014

The 06z run is darn cold The coldest day has large area of 8-12C ( roughly 15-20F below normal) To end the Year The Canadian coldest day Has...

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Euro Case Study
12.21.2014

I started this with the 00z Dec 20 run to see if my suspicion about the models west bias is right. The test case is the 5 day means ending 00z Jan 3. The top...

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CFSV2 for Jan... Come on Down
12.20.2014

Check out the evolution of the last 9 runs Message: may be delayed, but likely not denied. btw if its so darn warm why are they making...

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Christmas week transition impressive
12.20.2014

After the 16th coldest November for the lower 48 states since 1895, it has been a roller coast ride with a transition to warmth the last week....

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PSD Bias Corrected Cold
12.19.2014

The 10-15 day EC Ensemble anomalies are setting as expected albeit a little late. Joe showed some of this PSD model in his post. Waiting for...

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Nudging begins. Analog schemes match JFM...
12.18.2014

First with a precursor early week storm and then the Christmas storm, the models are nudging closer to some coastal response ideas. Remember it is still...

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Ice to close upper Mississippi from...
11.20.2014

Snow has this week exceeded 50% coverage ot the CONUS, above the average of 33% for Christmas. Sub zero temperatures spilled out of the Rockies into the...

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Global tropics quiet
06.23.2014

The Eastern North Pacific has seen two major hurricanes to start the season: Amanda (135-knots) and Cristina (130-knots) which have piled up already 32 ACE...

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Northern Hemisphere Tropical Cyclones
08.12.2013

North Atlantic September 10th is the historical peak of the North Atlantic hurricane season which normally sees 10 or 11 named tropical storms. This...

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How cold will it get?
12.17.2014

While many people's attention will be focused on the storm over the Midwest and cold air coming in for Christmas Eve, the next question will be...

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12 hours out and still model confusion
11.25.2014

Well, about 12 hours away from the start of this Nor'easter and the models are still as different as can be. The GFS Operational and its...

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Record Breaking November
11.17.2014

The two Joe's have been comparing this November to some of the benchmark Novembers in history. The big question is how historic will 2014 be?...

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VIDEOS

The Atmospheric Avenger

12.20.2014

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The Saturday Summary

12.20.2014

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The Atmospheric Avenger

12.19.2014

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