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Highlighted Posts:
Final 2015 Hurricane Forecast (Updated 5/28)

Final 2015 Summer Forecast (Updated 5/27)

CFSV2 Keeps Saying.. Summer will Die for...
06.29.2015

The 06z run of the CFSV2 is even cooler than its 00z friend The evolution and how the models cold runs are piling up are seen here: 20-30 day 10...

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Precip On CFSV Looks like 76-77-77-78 tandem
06.29.2015

Good news, I wont have to explain this too much 76-77 winter ( was drier than this winter!) This past winter 77-78 winter...

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Mind Boggling Australian MJO forecast...
06.28.2015

This is astounding, I can't find a case in the archives that has this kind of summer amplitude (of course it has not yet happened, but the ECMWF Bias...

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Western Region Update: bakeoff before the...
06.29.2015

Except for a small portion of the far western Plains (north and south), the west has had a warm to hot week and June. It is not surprising given...

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Watch the MJO at work in the WESTPAC
06.28.2015

Again the green contours represent a favorable upper atmospheric divergence that allows thunderstorms clusters to organize and develop in the tropical...

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Pacific tropical activity to blossom big time
06.26.2015

Joe, Ryan and I have been tracking the explosion of the MJO in the Pacific. It has tanked the SOI. The green cotours outline the area with outflow aloft...

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New Coat of Paint on the GFS
02.02.2015

During the past few weeks, I've been working with the new GFS upgrade model. To some it's a shiny new toy, to others it's simply a Mercury Sable...

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Ice to close upper Mississippi from...
11.20.2014

Snow has this week exceeded 50% coverage ot the CONUS, above the average of 33% for Christmas. Sub zero temperatures spilled out of the Rockies into the...

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Global tropics quiet
06.23.2014

The Eastern North Pacific has seen two major hurricanes to start the season: Amanda (135-knots) and Cristina (130-knots) which have piled up already 32 ACE...

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Interesting Preseason (Sub)tropical Cyclones
05.07.2015

As many of you know, the names for the Atlantic basin are recycled every six years (unless a storm is retired). Ana is the first storm on the list...

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ECMWF - ECMWF Parallel Differences
03.18.2015

With the recent news the ECMWF model is being upgraded, Dr. Maue has put together a tool to compare the two visually:...

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What does it take to get a subzero reading...
02.17.2015

Revisiting my post from the other day, NYC hit 3°F Sunday night with 850mb temperatures that were around -22°C (taken from the ECMWF...

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VIDEOS

Quickee Nino Update

06.29.2015

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The Atmospheric Avenger

06.29.2015

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The Atmospheric Avenger

06.28.2015

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