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Highlighted Posts:
Hurricane Forecast (Updated 5/19)
Winter Forecast (Updated 8/20)

Fun and Games in the Longer Range
10.19.2014

Problems Start with where this pattern could go late in the period. Here is the Day 15 ECMWF The GFS shows no such thing:...

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The End Game of the Hurricane Season......
10.19.2014

50 Years ago, Category 3 Hurricane Isbell hit south Florida with this track The surface map after it crossed south Florida...

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Models Mayhem
10.18.2014

When dealing with ensembles, one has to understand they are a blend of many members.. so they are not supposed to nail an extreme event as much as they are...

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Busy travel weekend - two quick thoughts
10.18.2014

Two WB folks in Connecticut, two at the NWA conference in SLC. I drove 350 miles to my talk. A long, hectic day, a sick dog but I fell obliged to provide a...

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Next week's storm a preview to winter...
10.17.2014

Very often in stormy winters, we get previews of the storms in the fall. Research decades ago showed storm track persisted better month to month season to...

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Michigan Live on the even colder Great lakes
10.16.2014

Last winter, every week of the cold season had above normal ice on the Great Lakes you will recall. the ice was still seen on Lake Superior in early June....

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Global tropics quiet
06.23.2014

The Eastern North Pacific has seen two major hurricanes to start the season: Amanda (135-knots) and Cristina (130-knots) which have piled up already 32 ACE...

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Northern Hemisphere Tropical Cyclones
08.12.2013

North Atlantic September 10th is the historical peak of the North Atlantic hurricane season which normally sees 10 or 11 named tropical storms. This...

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Getting value from CFSv2 forecasts
04.15.2013

The CFSv2 is an update to the previous Climate Forecast System run by NCEP in the past decade. Indeed,  a CFSv3 is already in the works.  But...

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Northern Plains Frost and Freeze Potential
09.05.2014

There is the possibility that a frost or freeze will occur across the northern Plains towards the end of next week. For those Premium users who...

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Hurricane Season 2014 (thru 8/31)
08.28.2014

WeatherBell came out with an aggressively "benign" hurricane season forecast back in March ("benign" because of total...

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Mid-Summer Statistics
07.18.2014

Following up yesterday's post, here are some more statistics for the first half of meteorological summer. Station 90°...

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VIDEOS

Sunday Atmospheric Avenger

10.19.2014

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Oct 18 Saturday Summary

10.18.2014

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Friday Atmospheric Avenger

10.17.2014

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