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Highlighted Posts:
2015 Prelim Hurricane Forecast (Updated 3/18)
Winter Forecast (Updated 10/22)

Trying to Get Smart Over Chaos
04.01.2015

Would you believe....? should be changed to What do you believe given what has to be one of the strangest 12z runs I can remember. The GFS ENSEMBLE...

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Wow..What a Gradient.. Worthy of the Plains
03.31.2015

State College Pa to Martinburg WVA is 92 miles as the crow flies. Its 32 at State College and 71 in Martinsburg! Rarely do you see that kind of gradient in...

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NCEP MJO.. Say What?
03.31.2015

Okay here is the NCEP MJO forecast It launches it strongly into phase 1 in the extended period. Phase one is a darn cold phase in April...

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Saranac Lake - Adirondack cold spot
04.01.2015

Hans Kurr wrote WB with some interesting facts about records being set in the Adirondacks for cold this year and in recent decades. For the second year in...

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Central and Great Lakes Update: March 31,...
03.31.2015

The month of March has been warm in the Northern Plains, but colder in the Great Lakes and Southern Plains The year to date has se a warm west and...

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Western Region Update: March 30, 2015 -...
03.30.2015

It has continued warm west given the warm waters in the eastern Pacific. The rains have been from northern California north and northeast the past...

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New Coat of Paint on the GFS
02.02.2015

During the past few weeks, I've been working with the new GFS upgrade model. To some it's a shiny new toy, to others it's simply a Mercury Sable...

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Ice to close upper Mississippi from...
11.20.2014

Snow has this week exceeded 50% coverage ot the CONUS, above the average of 33% for Christmas. Sub zero temperatures spilled out of the Rockies into the...

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Global tropics quiet
06.23.2014

The Eastern North Pacific has seen two major hurricanes to start the season: Amanda (135-knots) and Cristina (130-knots) which have piled up already 32 ACE...

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ECMWF - ECMWF Parallel Differences
03.18.2015

With the recent news the ECMWF model is being upgraded, Dr. Maue has put together a tool to compare the two visually:...

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What does it take to get a subzero reading...
02.17.2015

Revisiting my post from the other day, NYC hit 3°F Sunday night with 850mb temperatures that were around -22°C (taken from the ECMWF...

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What does it take to get a subzero reading...
02.10.2015

The last time it fell below 0°F was January 19, 1994 (-2°F). So what does it take to get a below zero min temperature in the USA's...

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VIDEOS

A cold late winter again in the North Country

04.01.2015

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The Atmospheric Avenger

04.01.2015

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Raging Weatherbull

03.31.2015

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