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Highlighted Posts:
Final 2015 Hurricane Forecast (Updated 5/28)

Final 2015 Summer Forecast (Updated 5/27)

Inter-US model Catfight at its worst
07.07.2015

I have been using the CFSV2 Climate model to help temper what I consider to be a glaring bias to warm i the GFS ensemble this summer. I watch the price of...

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Boiling Oceans Likely Contributors to Wild...
07.06.2015

The long term idea here, on a multi year scale, is a giant flip of the Ocean on fire look of the Pacific, is going to occur over the next several years, once...

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Aussie Monthly MJO/July Phase temps/ECMWF
07.05.2015

Heres the latest, below is where tropical cyclone development is favored ( brown). Working pretty nicely, eh?

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Northeast and Southern Region: July 7, 2015
07.07.2015

The last week has been cool, continuing the coolness of June northeast and reversing the warm southeast. The week had precipitation increase into the...

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Central and Great Lakes Update: July 7,...
07.06.2015

As we are rapidly approaching mid summer, we are seeing variability in the pattern. Extremes are favored where the soil moisture favors the heat (dry) or...

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Western Region Upate: July 6, 2015
07.06.2015

The west has baked in extreme heat while downstream, the last week has been chilly for July in the Midwest. Sunday afternoon temperatures were again...

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New Coat of Paint on the GFS
02.02.2015

During the past few weeks, I've been working with the new GFS upgrade model. To some it's a shiny new toy, to others it's simply a Mercury Sable...

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Ice to close upper Mississippi from...
11.20.2014

Snow has this week exceeded 50% coverage ot the CONUS, above the average of 33% for Christmas. Sub zero temperatures spilled out of the Rockies into the...

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Global tropics quiet
06.23.2014

The Eastern North Pacific has seen two major hurricanes to start the season: Amanda (135-knots) and Cristina (130-knots) which have piled up already 32 ACE...

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Hot end to June in the Central Valley
06.30.2015

There is some impressive heat in the Central Valley of California today and more on the way tomorrow to start July. The forecast is for 110s up to...

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Interesting Preseason (Sub)tropical Cyclones
05.07.2015

As many of you know, the names for the Atlantic basin are recycled every six years (unless a storm is retired). Ana is the first storm on the list...

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ECMWF - ECMWF Parallel Differences
03.18.2015

With the recent news the ECMWF model is being upgraded, Dr. Maue has put together a tool to compare the two visually:...

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VIDEOS

The Atmospheric Avenger

07.07.2015

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The Atmospheric Avenger

07.06.2015

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Pacific action shifts east with time

07.05.2015

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