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Highlighted Posts:

2016 Summer Preview (Updated 2/25)

2016 Hurricane Season Forecast (Updated 5/18)

What Else This El Nino Brought Out
05.23.2016

You know Ronald Reagan had a saying about saying no evil about a fellow republican. In the climate debate, I try not to do that about people on my side of...

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Brazilian supporting Tropical Threat FLA
05.23.2016

looking at the meteograms in Miami and Orlando with sharp drop offs and pressures near 995 mb, I think we are seeing it support the idea...

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The Siege is Ending
05.22.2016

But if you Believe the Canadian and GEFS, its leaving after a week Day 15 GEFS Canadian European Perhaps the...

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Southeast dries out for now, tornado...
05.24.2016

The last 30 days have been below normal in the Gulf States. Since October 1 Parts of the Tennessee Valley and northeast Florida/southeast Georgia are...

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Western Region Update: May 23, 2016
05.22.2016

The last week has been cool to cold for May over much of the CONUS. Cool holds for the month to date except for the Pacific Northwest, which...

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2015/16 winter in the rear view window
05.21.2016

A subscriber asked if we would offer some quick ideas as to why the crazy winter of 2015/16 worked out the way it did. here is at least my perspective....

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GEFS ensemble upgrade coming
09.13.2015

New supercomputing power at NCEP will finally yield an upgraded ensemble prediction system similar to the ECMWF EPS. This is excellent news for us at...

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New Coat of Paint on the GFS
02.02.2015

During the past few weeks, I've been working with the new GFS upgrade model. To some it's a shiny new toy, to others it's simply a Mercury Sable...

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Ice to close upper Mississippi from...
11.20.2014

Snow has this week exceeded 50% coverage ot the CONUS, above the average of 33% for Christmas. Sub zero temperatures spilled out of the Rockies into the...

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What does it take to get a heat wave in May?
05.13.2016

Joe B. and I have been going back and forth on this for 24 hours now. The pattern at the end of May looks conducive for the development of warm...

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Comments on NOAA Report on Blizzard of 2016
04.28.2016

Here is a link to NOAA's report on measurement practices and the Blizzard of 2016:...

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Note on the Hurricane Season
04.15.2016

Some of you may be thinking, "Why has this guy not posted anything in a long time and now has two posts on back-to-back days?" Well...

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VIDEOS

The Atmospheric Avenger

05.23.2016

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Sunday Atmospheric Avenger

05.22.2016

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The Saturday Summary

05.21.2016

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