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Highlighted Posts:
Final 2015 Hurricane Forecast (Updated 5/28)
Final 2015 Summer Forecast (Updated 5/27)

Will a warm September mean a Cold Winter
07.28.2015

By now, I am sure our rivals have picked up on the idea you dont buy what was going on in summer to forecast September. I dont know if you remember, but some...

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Low Level Center forms nw of TPA
07.27.2015

PSU sat loop shows it nicely http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/SAT_SE/anim8vis.html The GFS is taking this across Florida tonight and tomorrow and then out...

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Tropical Oceans.. Not as Warm One Might Think
07.27.2015

I have decided to get out in front of the Meteo Media and dub this Warm Enso event HELL Nino, instead of El Nino. The warming crowd is chomping at the bit...

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Central Update - Heat fed storms then cooling
07.28.2015

Monday was a warm to hot island in a sea of moderation. The most persistent heat was in the southeast and far Northwest in July to date. Recent...

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MJO recycles again over high heat content...
07.27.2015

See the animation of the 200mb Velocity Potential. See here in this animation how it regenerates over the highest heat content central Pacific. It...

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Western Region: Southwest showery; still...
07.27.2015

The last week reverted to cool in the west. the month to date has been cool in all but the Pacific Northwest. At 500mb a trough in the west pushes...

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New Coat of Paint on the GFS
02.02.2015

During the past few weeks, I've been working with the new GFS upgrade model. To some it's a shiny new toy, to others it's simply a Mercury Sable...

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Ice to close upper Mississippi from...
11.20.2014

Snow has this week exceeded 50% coverage ot the CONUS, above the average of 33% for Christmas. Sub zero temperatures spilled out of the Rockies into the...

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Global tropics quiet
06.23.2014

The Eastern North Pacific has seen two major hurricanes to start the season: Amanda (135-knots) and Cristina (130-knots) which have piled up already 32 ACE...

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Hot end to June in the Central Valley
06.30.2015

There is some impressive heat in the Central Valley of California today and more on the way tomorrow to start July. The forecast is for 110s up to...

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Interesting Preseason (Sub)tropical Cyclones
05.07.2015

As many of you know, the names for the Atlantic basin are recycled every six years (unless a storm is retired). Ana is the first storm on the list...

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ECMWF - ECMWF Parallel Differences
03.18.2015

With the recent news the ECMWF model is being upgraded, Dr. Maue has put together a tool to compare the two visually:...

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VIDEOS

The Atmospheric Avenger

07.28.2015

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Monday Atmospheric Avenger

07.27.2015

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The Atmospheric Avenger

07.26.2015

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