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Highlighted Posts:

2016 Summer Forecast (Updated 5/25)

2016 Hurricane Season Forecast (Updated 5/18)

97L Increasing
07.30.2016

Since we showed the TPW loop, when there was no convection with the front running system the euro was trying to track, the model showed its prowess again....

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AMO is still strongly positive
07.29.2016

The last 10 years of AMO data are here The talk of a cold AMO is greatly exaggerated. The current reading is 2cnd warmest since 2003. Last month...

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Exploring Skill Scoring
07.28.2016

A point to ponder. Should every forecast be weighted the same. Is a forecast for a sunny day, worth the same as a snowy day for instance. I did an...

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The Atlantic awakens in August
07.30.2016

Though officially, the hurricane season starts June1, August is the month during which the climatological chances of tropical activity ramps up rapidly. It...

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Europe's summer pattern carries forth
07.29.2016

The last week saw heat invade eastern Europe and northwest Russia following cold weather. it cooled west A strong trough is moving through the north...

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Some welcome relief for the northeast into...
07.27.2016

Last 5 days have been very warm in the northeast. Thursday looks hot again in the region - mainly in the metro areas east of the mountains....

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GEFS ensemble upgrade coming
09.13.2015

New supercomputing power at NCEP will finally yield an upgraded ensemble prediction system similar to the ECMWF EPS. This is excellent news for us at...

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New Coat of Paint on the GFS
02.02.2015

During the past few weeks, I've been working with the new GFS upgrade model. To some it's a shiny new toy, to others it's simply a Mercury Sable...

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Ice to close upper Mississippi from...
11.20.2014

Snow has this week exceeded 50% coverage ot the CONUS, above the average of 33% for Christmas. Sub zero temperatures spilled out of the Rockies into the...

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The New Jersey Shark Attacks of 1916
06.16.2016

The New Jersey shark attacks of 1916 are the stuff of legend. To this day people speculate as to whether there was one shark or multiple and which...

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Hot and Humid but not Hazy?
05.26.2016

A few weeks back, I discussed how we really needed to see 585dm+ heights to have widespread 90s. Well, late this week into this weekend we...

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What does it take to get a heat wave in May?
05.13.2016

Joe B. and I have been going back and forth on this for 24 hours now. The pattern at the end of May looks conducive for the development of warm...

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VIDEOS

The Saturday Summary

07.30.2016

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Raging Weatherbell on 97L

07.30.2016

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Atlantic awakens in August

07.30.2016

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