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Highlighted Posts:
Final 2015 Hurricane Forecast (Updated 5/28)
Final 2015 Summer Forecast (Updated 5/27)
Winter Forecast (Updated 8/28)

Carol Greater than Katrina
08.31.2015

I have had it with the Katrina hoopla and it hid a head today the anniversary of Carol which barely gets a peep yet to me represented a greater deviation...

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The MJO Linkage
08.30.2015

If there is anything that makes the point about how the same drivers at one time of the year will lead to a different pattern over North America, its the...

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If We are Right about Western Ridge, GOA...
08.30.2015

The CFSV2 is even trying to say what we are saying. Look at the evolution in the 500 mb in the 3 month increments starting in November. You will see that...

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Western Region Update: August 31, 2015 -...
08.31.2015

The last week has reverted back warm in most of the west as very cool weather centered in the Plains and Midwest. The exceptions has been the wetter parts of...

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A tour of the busy tropics
08.30.2015

The east and central Pacific sub tropics are feeding off the strong El Nino with Kilo, Ignacio and Jimena left to right. See the warmest water now...

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Erika's reorganization shifts many tracks...
08.28.2015

Erika is south southwest of Puerto Rico this morning. From there, the model track have mostly adjusted west across the big island and then north of...

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New Coat of Paint on the GFS
02.02.2015

During the past few weeks, I've been working with the new GFS upgrade model. To some it's a shiny new toy, to others it's simply a Mercury Sable...

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Ice to close upper Mississippi from...
11.20.2014

Snow has this week exceeded 50% coverage ot the CONUS, above the average of 33% for Christmas. Sub zero temperatures spilled out of the Rockies into the...

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Global tropics quiet
06.23.2014

The Eastern North Pacific has seen two major hurricanes to start the season: Amanda (135-knots) and Cristina (130-knots) which have piled up already 32 ACE...

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Areas of US Drought
08.13.2015

Areas of Drought in the U.S. Emerging drought in the Northeast will set the stage for hot temperatures next week. Quick turnaround in...

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Urban Heat Advisory Criteria
07.29.2015

You may have noticed the strange configuration of the heat advisory and excessive heat warning in the New York City and Philadelphia areas today....

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Hot end to June in the Central Valley
06.30.2015

There is some impressive heat in the Central Valley of California today and more on the way tomorrow to start July. The forecast is for 110s up to...

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VIDEOS

The Atmospheric Avenger

08.31.2015

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Winter thoughts on a dog day afternoon

08.30.2015

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The Atmospheric Avenger

08.30.2015

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