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Highlighted Posts:
Hurricane Forecast (Updated 5/19)
Summer Forecast (Updated 5/16)

NCEP MJO does not Match its Long Range
08.01.2014

Put it another way, Well, there you go again. The merchants of heat are banging the drum again, and one of these times ( I think September and will...

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Fiasco Watch for Windwards/Leewards
07.31.2014

The recon has tropical storm force winds. Here is the statement . A Hurricane Hunter aircraft has continued to investigate the low...

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Dry Air Stopping 93L
07.31.2014

When the mid and upper levels, or any level for that matter is dry. tropical cyclones have to work harder to sustain themselves. 93L has a dagger of very dry...

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Welcome Bertha
08.01.2014

My first baseball bat when I played ball in a boys club in Brooklyn was called Big Bertha. It wasn't original. This is “Big Bertha,”...

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Solar geomagnetic activity and QBO agree...
07.31.2014

Looking ahead to winter I try and pay attention to the QBO and solar as well as the ocean factors. It rarely lets me down. The geomagnetic activity - charged...

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Watching the Atlantic and 90F days in...
07.30.2014

The Atlantic temperatures are slowly evolving. Warm off the Maritimes and north of the Bahamas and in the GOM. Still warm enough though below normal in...

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Global tropics quiet
06.23.2014

The Eastern North Pacific has seen two major hurricanes to start the season: Amanda (135-knots) and Cristina (130-knots) which have piled up already 32 ACE...

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Northern Hemisphere Tropical Cyclones
08.12.2013

North Atlantic September 10th is the historical peak of the North Atlantic hurricane season which normally sees 10 or 11 named tropical storms. This...

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Getting value from CFSv2 forecasts
04.15.2013

The CFSv2 is an update to the previous Climate Forecast System run by NCEP in the past decade. Indeed,  a CFSv3 is already in the works.  But...

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Mid-Summer Statistics
07.18.2014

Following up yesterday's post, here are some more statistics for the first half of meteorological summer. Station 90°...

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It's been warm?
07.17.2014

Believe it or not, we've had a warm first half of summer for much of the populated areas of our nation. June was hot in the Southwest, warm...

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El NiƱo and Cardiologists
06.19.2014

Remember the series of blogs I did back in the early spring? I basically contended that most of the models were out in left field and that the...

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VIDEOS

Atmospheric Avenger

08.01.2014

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Atmospheric Avenger

07.31.2014

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Wednesday Atmospheric Avenger

07.30.2014

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