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Highlighted Posts:
Final 2015 Hurricane Forecast (Updated 5/28)
Winter Forecast (Updated 8/28)

Testing the Binghamton Rule
02.13.2016

NYC Temp H+5 =BGM +13 So the NYC temp 5 hours from 1 pm, 6 pm should be 10 because BGM is -3 now That was taught to me in the late 1970s. Lets see how...

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Euro with All time Cold Records threatened
02.13.2016

The direct discharge into New England is on the way. while there is argument downwind from Lake Ontario, New England is at the mercy of the charge of the...

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From Thur Snow Outlook ( Kept it Friday)
02.13.2016

Here is the snow idea we had from Thursday and Friday for the period 00z Tue through Wed. I think timing has to be monkeyed with but overall I still like...

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Battle of the models on cold and storm
02.13.2016

A very amazing trough rivaling any in the last 2 cold winters in the northeast descends this weekend. Less than 486 thicknesses (1000-500mb) are...

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Clearly, Europe's winter weather tied to...
02.12.2016

We have promised every Friday to do a look at Europe for subscribers. A lot can be learned from this winter. Without persistent blocking like we saw in...

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Amazing 850 mb temperatures - then?
02.11.2016

My late meteorological buddy, Pete Leavitt who was a co-founder of WSC/WSI who started forecasting in the 1950s, used to say major arctic highs bring amazing...

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GEFS ensemble upgrade coming
09.13.2015

New supercomputing power at NCEP will finally yield an upgraded ensemble prediction system similar to the ECMWF EPS. This is excellent news for us at...

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New Coat of Paint on the GFS
02.02.2015

During the past few weeks, I've been working with the new GFS upgrade model. To some it's a shiny new toy, to others it's simply a Mercury Sable...

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Ice to close upper Mississippi from...
11.20.2014

Snow has this week exceeded 50% coverage ot the CONUS, above the average of 33% for Christmas. Sub zero temperatures spilled out of the Rockies into the...

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You thought this forecasted NYC roller...
02.11.2016

Sunday morning is forecasted to have temperatures near 0°F in NYC: On Tuesday, afternoon temperatures are expected to be near 50°F....

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Why have storms moved closer to shore this...
02.05.2016

This morning's "surprise" snowstorm featured yet another coastal storm that moved closer to the coast than initial forecasts. The...

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Blizzard Nowcast: Coming in Faster
01.22.2016

Surface observations indicate that the storm is coming in a little faster. Here is a comparison of the northward extent of the snowfall for 7...

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VIDEOS

The Saturday Summary

02.13.2016

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Battle of the models on cold and storm track...

02.13.2016

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The Atmospheric Avenger

02.12.2016

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