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Highlighted Posts:
Hurricane Forecast (Updated 5/19)
Summer Forecast (Updated 5/16)

CFSV2 in January Flipping Fast
07.21.2014

Check this out, the CFSV2 evolution of 10 day runs over the last 30 days for January. We start with the run ending 20 days ago Ending 10 Days ago...

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As Per Atmospheric Avenger. There is a...
07.21.2014

92L has a nice looking embryonic circulation and because it is so small, is likely to maintain itself on its way west, if not increase. There are two...

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Summer: So Far, So Good
07.20.2014

The summer so far ( these are .5C intervals, which is about .9F) looks like this The rest of the summer on the CFSV2 looks like this:...

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Support for JB's solar/ENSO connection
07.21.2014

A decade or so ago I did an analysis that showed tendencies for ENSO to vary with the solar cycle going back several cycles. I could not find that file, but...

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Monday's Western Region Recap - July 21,...
07.21.2014

Warmth built into he northwest this month causing the fire season to kick in as forecast by the IFC. The last 4 months has stayed dry west including...

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Chicago's wild ride
07.20.2014

After a very cold winter in Chicago and Midwest, which if you included March, was tied for the coldest ever with the legendary 1977/78....

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Global tropics quiet
06.23.2014

The Eastern North Pacific has seen two major hurricanes to start the season: Amanda (135-knots) and Cristina (130-knots) which have piled up already 32 ACE...

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Northern Hemisphere Tropical Cyclones
08.12.2013

North Atlantic September 10th is the historical peak of the North Atlantic hurricane season which normally sees 10 or 11 named tropical storms. This...

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Getting value from CFSv2 forecasts
04.15.2013

The CFSv2 is an update to the previous Climate Forecast System run by NCEP in the past decade. Indeed,  a CFSv3 is already in the works.  But...

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Mid-Summer Statistics
07.18.2014

Following up yesterday's post, here are some more statistics for the first half of meteorological summer. Station 90°...

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It's been warm?
07.17.2014

Believe it or not, we've had a warm first half of summer for much of the populated areas of our nation. June was hot in the Southwest, warm...

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El NiƱo and Cardiologists
06.19.2014

Remember the series of blogs I did back in the early spring? I basically contended that most of the models were out in left field and that the...

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VIDEOS

Atmospheric Avenger

07.21.2014

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Saturday Summary

07.19.2014

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Atmospheric Avenger

07.18.2014

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