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Using ECWMF to figure out when SOI flips
04.23.2014
The SOI is the difference in the standard deviation in pressure between Tahiti and Darwin. ( here is the birds eye low down on this caper from the Australian...
Opposite Day in MJO/SOI Land to Blow...
04.23.2014
I lose track of who says what and when, but most of you following the weather heard the onslaught of Super Nino hysteria that occurred a while ago. First of...
Major Cold takes Hold to end April, Start May
04.22.2014
I am showing you what I said to my commercial clients in commenting on the GFS model run. Its skill scored over the last week to 10 days have...
Wednesday Central/Midwest Region Update:...
04.23.2014
The past week and on average for the month to date have shown more welcome seepage east of warmth from the west. Remember last April Denver was being buried...
Monday Western Region Update: April 22, 2014
04.22.2014
This Tuesday morning is relatively cool in the west but very warm in the desert southwest. The last week was warm in the southwest, cooler in the...
Some hints that volcanism/tectonic...
04.21.2014
Though there are always a dozen or two volcanoes rumbling, major volcanism seems to come in clusters. We have been relatively quiet, with the exception of...
Northern Hemisphere Tropical Cyclones
08.12.2013
North Atlantic September 10th is the historical peak of the North Atlantic hurricane season which normally sees 10 or 11 named tropical storms. This...
Getting value from CFSv2 forecasts
04.15.2013
The CFSv2 is an update to the previous Climate Forecast System run by NCEP in the past decade. Indeed, a CFSv3 is already in the works. But...
Life in a 10-day Forecast
03.12.2013
What if we lived in the climate of the GFS or ECMWF 10-day forecast? In other words, what if every 10-day forecast verified -- would that climate be...
The Rest of 2014
04.10.2014
Today, Colorado State came out with their 2014 Hurricane Season Outlook. Dr. Phil Klotzbach's group is expecting a significantly below normal...
Recap of NYC Snow Season
04.03.2014
At the end of February, New York City's Central Park weather station recorded 57.3 inches of snow to that point in the season. March only...
Tornado Season Off to a Whimper
03.27.2014
Tornadoes month-to-date Yesterday, four tornadoes were (preliminarily) spotted in California, matching the entire preliminary month-to-date...
