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Highlighted Posts:

2016 Summer Preview (Updated 2/25)

2016 Hurricane Season Forecast (Updated 5/18)

Euro Reaches SC Coast as TS
05.26.2016

Looks like the ridge over troubled water idea has merit as the Memorial day weekend will be marred by a storm with tropical characteristics, though likely no...

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Perspective on Indian Heat Wave
05.26.2016

1998 2002 2010 this year is it me, or does this not look as bad as those 3 other years, 2 of them el nino...

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MJO Amplitude and Temperature...
05.25.2016

Looking at NDJ, we find that the MJO in different phases splits results about evenly... cold vs warm The greater the amplitude, generally...

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Great Lakes and Northeast - late month...
05.26.2016

Most people in these parts regarded May as being cool and indeed the first 80 degree day in Boston came almost 3 weeks late though most inland areas...

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5 day burst of severe weather in the...
05.26.2016

Starting on the 21st, we have had a daily dose of sever weather in the plains. This is the area where climatology tells us it should be focused this time of...

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Bye El Nino Hello La Nina
05.24.2016

The latest sea surface temperature analysis shows the cool plume along the equatorial Pacific has returned back to 150W. See its evolution in this...

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GEFS ensemble upgrade coming
09.13.2015

New supercomputing power at NCEP will finally yield an upgraded ensemble prediction system similar to the ECMWF EPS. This is excellent news for us at...

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New Coat of Paint on the GFS
02.02.2015

During the past few weeks, I've been working with the new GFS upgrade model. To some it's a shiny new toy, to others it's simply a Mercury Sable...

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Ice to close upper Mississippi from...
11.20.2014

Snow has this week exceeded 50% coverage ot the CONUS, above the average of 33% for Christmas. Sub zero temperatures spilled out of the Rockies into the...

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Hot and Humid but not Hazy?
05.26.2016

A few weeks back, I discussed how we really needed to see 585dm+ heights to have widespread 90s. Well, late this week into this weekend we...

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What does it take to get a heat wave in May?
05.13.2016

Joe B. and I have been going back and forth on this for 24 hours now. The pattern at the end of May looks conducive for the development of warm...

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Comments on NOAA Report on Blizzard of 2016
04.28.2016

Here is a link to NOAA's report on measurement practices and the Blizzard of 2016:...

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VIDEOS

Bye El Nino Hello La Nina

05.26.2016

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The Atmospheric Avenger

05.26.2016

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The Atmospheric Avenger

05.25.2016

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