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Highlighted Posts:
Hurricane Forecast (Updated 5/19)
Winter Forecast (Updated 8/20)

The Golden Age of Weather Challenges
10.31.2014

It is likely you will not live through a period like this again. No, not the individual storms, but the amount of variables being thrown at you at once,...

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D'Aleo Sends Me Paper by Dickson/Nemias on...
10.31.2014

Joe sent me a paper on the winters of 76-77,77-78, two weakish warm enso events that crushed the US with as severe weather as we can have, though in...

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Deja Vu all Over
10.31.2014

Remember last year, those of you who are in energy. The bearish sentiment because of rumors of a warm winter. Well only God knows the future, but at...

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November starts with a challenge
10.31.2014

The first two days of November ae bringing a very interesting scneario for the east coast with a very deep trough with multiple component short wave features...

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East QBO El Ninos Northeast - quick look...
10.30.2014

Temperatues in El Nino winters with east QBOs. Snowfall during the El Nino winters with a deep east QBO. The east QBOS tend...

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UPDATED: SSTA patterns in analogs versus...
10.29.2014

We use a method where we compare many teleconnections and oscillations in the ocean, atmosphere and on the sun to come up with the forecasts. Obviously we...

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Global tropics quiet
06.23.2014

The Eastern North Pacific has seen two major hurricanes to start the season: Amanda (135-knots) and Cristina (130-knots) which have piled up already 32 ACE...

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Northern Hemisphere Tropical Cyclones
08.12.2013

North Atlantic September 10th is the historical peak of the North Atlantic hurricane season which normally sees 10 or 11 named tropical storms. This...

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Getting value from CFSv2 forecasts
04.15.2013

The CFSv2 is an update to the previous Climate Forecast System run by NCEP in the past decade. Indeed,  a CFSv3 is already in the works.  But...

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El NiƱo update
10.28.2014

Remember the series of blogs I did back in the spring? I showed how most of the models were out to lunch and that the upcoming El Niño would...

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Northern Plains Frost and Freeze Potential
09.05.2014

There is the possibility that a frost or freeze will occur across the northern Plains towards the end of next week. For those Premium users who...

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Hurricane Season 2014 (thru 8/31)
08.28.2014

WeatherBell came out with an aggressively "benign" hurricane season forecast back in March ("benign" because of total...

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VIDEOS

Atmospheric Avenger

10.31.2014

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Atmospheric Avenger

10.30.2014

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Atmospheric Avenger

10.29.2014

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