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Highlighted Posts:
Hurricane Forecast (Updated 5/19)
Winter Forecast (Updated 10/22)

NCEP GEFS ensembles Thwarting Even the...
03.04.2015

The GEFS ensembles are beating back the warmup quite a bit, so much so, it reminds of the times when I take issue with it when its too warm. It...

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Amazing Variance, this Close In
03.04.2015

This is one of the wildest Middays I have had in quite some time as major problems are still in front of us on the northern and southern edge of the snow,...

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Why Is This Happening to Me. ( There is a...
03.04.2015

I have long feared that my sins would return to haunt me, and the cost would be more than I could bear. Benjamin Martin The Patriot No, that is not the...

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Not a storm really but an anafront
03.05.2015

It was a mild day yesterday in the east. It is amazing how warm a +3F anomaly and 43F can feel after a month when we averaged more that 12F below normal with...

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Another cold shot with ice and snow into...
03.05.2015

We showed how cold February was for the Great Lakes, Midwest and Northeast to Mid Atlantic. It was cold into the deep south, but with only one intrusion into...

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Some quick thoughts on ENSO and summer
03.04.2015

We have not seen a significant ENSO event since the super La Nina of 2010/11. Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec...

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New Coat of Paint on the GFS
02.02.2015

During the past few weeks, I've been working with the new GFS upgrade model. To some it's a shiny new toy, to others it's simply a Mercury Sable...

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Ice to close upper Mississippi from...
11.20.2014

Snow has this week exceeded 50% coverage ot the CONUS, above the average of 33% for Christmas. Sub zero temperatures spilled out of the Rockies into the...

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Global tropics quiet
06.23.2014

The Eastern North Pacific has seen two major hurricanes to start the season: Amanda (135-knots) and Cristina (130-knots) which have piled up already 32 ACE...

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What does it take to get a subzero reading...
02.17.2015

Revisiting my post from the other day, NYC hit 3°F Sunday night with 850mb temperatures that were around -22°C (taken from the ECMWF...

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What does it take to get a subzero reading...
02.10.2015

The last time it fell below 0°F was January 19, 1994 (-2°F). So what does it take to get a below zero min temperature in the USA's...

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Winter's Misery is Spreading
02.10.2015

For those of you outside of the Northeast waiting for this winter's high note, it's coming! The New 12z GFS for Thursday morning has 850...

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VIDEOS

Raging Weatherbull

03.05.2015

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The Atmospheric Avenger

03.05.2015

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The Sobbing WeatherWimp Cause of State College...

03.04.2015

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